{"id":5417,"date":"2020-02-04T08:00:16","date_gmt":"2020-02-04T13:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/braindevs.net\/blog\/blog\/?p=5417"},"modified":"2020-01-30T19:43:45","modified_gmt":"2020-01-31T00:43:45","slug":"a-fresh-approach-to-evaluating-working-memory-training","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/a-fresh-approach-to-evaluating-working-memory-training\/","title":{"rendered":"A Fresh Approach to Evaluating Working Memory Training"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Because working memory is <a href=\"https:\/\/braindevs.net\/blog\/\/obsessed-with-working-memory-part-i\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SO IMPORTANT for learning<\/a>, we would love to enhance our students&#8217; WM capacity.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/braindevs.net\/blog\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AdobeStock_306744054_Credit.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-5424\" src=\"https:\/\/braindevs.net\/blog\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AdobeStock_306744054_Credit-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AdobeStock_306744054_Credit-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AdobeStock_306744054_Credit-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AdobeStock_306744054_Credit.jpg 793w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Alas, over and over, we find that WM training programs just don&#8217;t work (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.apa.org\/pubs\/journals\/releases\/dev-49-2-270.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC4232921\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/braindevs.net\/blog\/\/fool-me-twice-shame-on-me\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a>). I&#8217;ve written about this question so often that I&#8217;ve called an informal moratorium. Unless there&#8217;s something new to say, or a resurgence of attempts to promote such products, I&#8217;ll stop repeating this point.<\/p>\n<p>Recently I&#8217;ve come across a book chapter that <em>does<\/em> offer something new. A research team led by\u00a0Claudia C. von Bastian used a very powerful statistical method to analyze the effectiveness of WM training programs.<\/p>\n<p>This new methodology (which I&#8217;ll talk about below) encourages us to approach the question with fresh eyes. That is: before I read von Bastian&#8217;s work, I reminded myself that it might well <em>contradict<\/em> my prior beliefs.<\/p>\n<p>It might show that WM training <em>does<\/em> work. And, if it shows that, I need to announce that conclusion as loudly as I&#8217;ve announced earlier doubts.<\/p>\n<p>In other words: there&#8217;s no point in reading this chapter simply to confirm what I already believe. And, reader, <strong>the same applies for you<\/strong>. I hereby encourage you: prepare to have your beliefs about WM training challenged. You shouldn&#8217;t read the rest of this post unless you&#8217;re open to that possibility.<\/p>\n<h2>New Methodology<\/h2>\n<p>One problem with arguments about WM training is that <em>sample sizes are so small<\/em>. In one recent meta-analysis, the average sample size per study was <strong>20 participants<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>In a <a href=\"https:\/\/global.oup.com\/academic\/product\/cognitive-and-working-memory-training-9780199974467?cc=us&amp;lang=en&amp;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">recent book<\/a> on cognitive training, von Bastian, Guye, and De Simoni note that small sample sizes lead to quirky p-values. In other words, we struggle to be sure that the findings of small studies don&#8217;t result from chance or error.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, von Bastian &amp; Co. propose using Bayes factors: an alternate technique for evaluating the reliability of a finding, especially with small sample sizes. The specifics here go WAY beyond the level of this blog, but the authors summarize handy tags for interpreting Bayes factors:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">1-3\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Ambiguous<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">3-10\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Substantial<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">10-30\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Strong<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">30-100\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Very Strong<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">100+\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Decisive<\/p>\n<p>They then calculate Bayes factors for 28 studies of WM training.<\/p>\n<h2>Drum Roll, Please&#8230;<\/h2>\n<p>We&#8217;ve braced ourselves for the possibility that a new analytical method will overturn our prior convictions. Does it?<\/p>\n<p>Well, two of the 28 studies &#8220;very strongly&#8221; suggest WM training works. 1 of the 28 &#8220;substantially&#8221; supports WM training. 19 are &#8220;ambiguous.&#8221; And 6 &#8220;substantially&#8221; suggest that WM training has no effect.<\/p>\n<p>In other words: 3 of the 28 show meaningful support of the hypothesis. The other 25 are neutral or negative.<\/p>\n<p>So, in a word: &#8220;no.&#8221; Whichever method you use to evaluate the success of WM training, we just don&#8217;t have good reason to believe that it works.<\/p>\n<p>Especially when such training takes a long time, and costs lost of money, schools should continue to be wary.<\/p>\n<h2>Three Final Notes<\/h2>\n<p><strong>First<\/strong>: I&#8217;ve focused on p-values and Bayes factors in this blog post. But, von Bastian&#8217;s team emphasizes a number of problems in this field. For instance: WM training research frequently lacks an &#8220;active&#8221; control group. And, it often lacks a substantial theory, beyond &#8220;cognitive capacities should be trainable.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Second<\/strong>: This research team is itself working on an intriguing hypothesis right now. They wonder if working memory\u00a0<strong>capacity<\/strong> <em>cannot <\/em>be trained, but working memory\u00a0<strong>efficiency<\/strong>\u00a0<em>can<\/em> be trained. That&#8217;s a subtle but meaningful distinction, and I&#8217;m glad to see they&#8217;re exploring this question.<\/p>\n<p>So far they&#8217;re getting mixed results, and don&#8217;t make strong claims. But, I&#8217;ll keep an eye on this possibility &#8212; and I&#8217;ll report back if they develop helpful strategies.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Third<\/strong>: I encouraged you to read von Bastian&#8217;s chapter because it might change your mind. As it turns out, the chapter probably didn&#8217;t. Instead it confirmed what you (and certainly I) already thought.<\/p>\n<p>Nonetheless, that was an important mental exercise. Those of us committed to relying on research for teaching guidance should be prepared to change our approach when research leads us in a new direction.<\/p>\n<p>Because, you know, some day a new WM training paradigm just might work.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>von Bastian, C. C., Guye, S., &amp; De Simoni, C. (2019). How strong is the evidence for the effectiveness of working memory training? In M. F. Bunting, J. M. Novick, M. R. Dougherty &amp; R. W. Engle (Eds.),<i> Cognitive and Working Memory Training: Perspectives from Psychology, Neuroscience, and Human Development<\/i> (pp. 58\u201375). Oxford University Press.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new method for evaluating working memory training raises an intriguing possibility: despite all our skepticism, might that training work after all?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":5424,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[19,30],"class_list":["post-5417","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lb-blog","tag-skepticism","tag-working-memory"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5417","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5417"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5417\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5426,"href":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5417\/revisions\/5426"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5424"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5417"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5417"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.learningandthebrain.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5417"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}